Elena Rybakina #5 def. Paula Badosa #25

6-3 6-2

Elena Rybakina defeated Paula Badosa 6-3 6-2 in the 2026 Brisbane International third round on hard courts on January 8, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatElena RybakinaPaula Badosa
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
36
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
09
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
45.6%52.0%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
81.0%59.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
60.0%38.9%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
75.0%37.5%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
69.6%49.3%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
62.5%25.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
50.7%30.4%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
57.9%42.1%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+12.6-7.6
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+7.6-12.7

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldElena RybakinaPaula Badosa
Country KAZ ESP
Birth dateJun 17, 1999Nov 15, 1997
Age2628
Height184 cm180 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)525
Ranking points (entering)5,8501,676
Elo (entering)2,1741,949
Current career W-L318–130182–119
Current career earnings$35,354,162$10,064,144
Pre-match H2H
Elena Rybakina #5 4 – 2 Paula Badosa #25

Path

Elena Rybakina's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Shuai Zhang #816-3 7-5WH2HMatch dataJan 6, 2026R32

Elena Rybakina's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Karolina Muchova #192-6 6-2 4-6LH2HMatch dataJan 9, 2026QF

Paula Badosa's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Marie Bouzkova #426-7(4) 6-4 6-2WH2HMatch dataJan 6, 2026R32