SF Miami Open 2026

Aryna Sabalenka #1 def. Elena Rybakina #2

6-4 6-3

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Elena Rybakina 6-4 6-3 in the 2026 Miami Open semifinal on hard courts on March 27, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatAryna SabalenkaElena Rybakina
Aces92
Double faults01
First serve %56.0%63.0%
First serve points won %82.0%57.0%
Second serve points won %55.0%43.0%
Break points saved %0.0%50.0%
Break points converted %50.0%100.0%
Service points won %70.0%52.0%
Return points won %48.0%30.0%
Total points won %58.0%42.0%
Serve rating127101
Return rating99104

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldAryna SabalenkaElena Rybakina
Country BLR KAZ
Birth dateMay 5, 1998Jun 17, 1999
Age2726
Height182 cm184 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)12
Ranking points (entering)11,0257,783
Elo (entering)2,2962,226
Current career W-L414–144311–129
Current career earnings$50,422,999$29,818,052
Pre-match H2H

Path

Aryna Sabalenka's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Hailey Baptiste #456-4 6-4WH2HMatch dataMar 25, 2026QF
Qinwen Zheng #266-3 6-4WH2HMatch dataMar 23, 2026R16
Caty Mcnally #726-4 6-2WH2HMatch dataMar 22, 2026R32
Ann Li #397-6(5) 6-4WH2HMatch dataMar 21, 2026R64

Aryna Sabalenka's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Coco Gauff #46-2 4-6 6-3WH2HMatch dataMar 28, 2026F

Elena Rybakina's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Jessica Pegula #52-6 6-3 6-4WH2HMatch dataMar 25, 2026QF
Talia Gibson #686-2 6-2WH2HMatch dataMar 24, 2026R16
Marta Kostyuk #286-3 6-4WH2HMatch dataMar 22, 2026R32
Yulia Putintseva #756-3 6-3WH2HMatch dataMar 21, 2026R64