QF Australian Open 2026

Elena Rybakina #5 def. Iga Swiatek #2

7-5 6-1

Elena Rybakina defeated Iga Swiatek 7-5 6-1 in the 2026 Australian Open quarterfinal on hard courts on January 28, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatElena RybakinaIga Swiatek
Aces103
Double faults31
First serve %49.0%55.0%
First serve points won %79.0%60.0%
Second serve points won %55.0%40.0%
Break points saved %75.0%43.0%
Break points converted %57.0%25.0%
Service points won %67.0%51.0%
Return points won %49.0%33.0%
Total points won %58.0%42.0%
Serve rating11997
Return rating13994

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldElena RybakinaIga Swiatek
Country KAZ POL
Birth dateJun 17, 1999May 31, 2001
Age2624
Height184 cm176 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)52
Ranking points (entering)5,8508,328
Elo (entering)2,1712,157
Current career W-L310–129341–87
Current career earnings$29,818,052$47,269,084
Pre-match H2H
Elena Rybakina #5 5 5 Iga Swiatek #2

Path

Elena Rybakina's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Elise Mertens #216-1 6-3WH2HMatch dataJan 26, 2026R16
Tereza Valentova #546-2 6-3WH2HMatch dataJan 24, 2026R32
Varvara Gracheva #777-5 6-2WH2HMatch dataJan 22, 2026R64
Kaja Juvan #1006-4 6-3WH2HMatch dataJan 20, 2026R128

Elena Rybakina's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Jessica Pegula #66-3 7-6(7)WH2HMatch dataJan 29, 2026SF

Iga Swiatek's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Maddison Inglis #1686-0 6-3WH2HMatch dataJan 26, 2026R16
Anna Kalinskaya #336-1 1-6 6-1WH2HMatch dataJan 24, 2026R32
Marie Bouzkova #446-2 6-3WH2HMatch dataJan 22, 2026R64
Yue Yuan #1307-6(5) 6-3WH2HMatch dataJan 19, 2026R128