QF Australian Open 2026

Elena Rybakina #5 def. Iga Swiatek #2

7-5 6-1

Elena Rybakina defeated Iga Swiatek 7-5 6-1 in the 2026 Australian Open quarterfinal on hard courts on January 28, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatElena RybakinaIga Swiatek
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
113
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
31
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
49.1%54.5%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
79.3%60.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
56.7%40.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
75.0%42.9%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
67.8%50.9%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
57.1%25.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
49.1%32.2%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
58.8%41.2%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+10.9-6.0
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+6.0-10.9

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldElena RybakinaIga Swiatek
Country KAZ POL
Birth dateJun 17, 1999May 31, 2001
Age2624
Height184 cm176 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)52
Ranking points (entering)5,8508,328
Elo (entering)2,1722,158
Current career W-L318–130347–90
Current career earnings$35,354,162$47,942,729
Pre-match H2H
Elena Rybakina #5 5 – 5 Iga Swiatek #2

Path

Elena Rybakina's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Elise Mertens #216-1 6-3WH2HMatch dataJan 26, 2026R16
Tereza Valentova #546-2 6-3WH2HMatch dataJan 24, 2026R32
Varvara Gracheva #777-5 6-2WH2HMatch dataJan 22, 2026R64
Kaja Juvan #1006-4 6-3WH2HMatch dataJan 20, 2026R128

Elena Rybakina's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Jessica Pegula #66-3 7-6(7)WH2HMatch dataJan 29, 2026SF

Iga Swiatek's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Maddison Inglis #1686-0 6-3WH2HMatch dataJan 26, 2026R16
Anna Kalinskaya #336-1 1-6 6-1WH2HMatch dataJan 24, 2026R32
Marie Bouzkova #446-2 6-3WH2HMatch dataJan 22, 2026R64
Yue Yuan #1307-6(5) 6-3WH2HMatch dataJan 19, 2026R128