QF Wimbledon 2026

Karolina Muchova #9 def. Naomi Osaka #14

7-6(4) 6-4

Karolina Muchova defeated Naomi Osaka 7-6(4) 6-4 in the 2026 Wimbledon quarterfinal on grass courts on July 7, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatKarolina MuchovaNaomi Osaka
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
79
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
24
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
69.2%59.1%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
80.0%67.3%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
50.0%41.7%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
33.3%57.1%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
70.8%56.8%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
42.9%66.7%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
43.2%29.2%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
54.9%45.1%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+13.7-0.2
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+0.2-13.7

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldKarolina MuchovaNaomi Osaka
Country CZE JPN
Birth dateAug 21, 1996Oct 16, 1997
Age2928
Height180 cm180 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)914
Ranking points (entering)3,8782,846
Elo (entering)2,0972,055
Current career W-L178–90250–137
Current career earnings$15,171,307$27,092,806
Pre-match H2H
Karolina Muchova #9 3 4 Naomi Osaka #14

Path

Karolina Muchova's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Barbora Krejcikova #387-5 5-7 6-3WH2HMatch dataJul 5, 2026R16
Mananchaya Sawangkaew #1646-2 7-6(1)WH2HMatch dataJul 3, 2026R32
Shuai Zhang #646-3 6-2WH2HMatch dataJul 1, 2026R64
Anastasia Zakharova #856-3 6-2WH2HMatch dataJun 29, 2026R128

Karolina Muchova's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Coco Gauff #76-2 1-6 7-6(10)WH2HMatch dataJul 9, 2026SF

Naomi Osaka's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Aryna Sabalenka #16-2 7-6(2)WH2HMatch dataJul 5, 2026R16
Daria Kasatkina #656-1 6-3WH2HMatch dataJul 3, 2026R32
Anastasia Gasanova #2256-3 6-2WH2HMatch dataJul 1, 2026R64
Elsa Jacquemot #806-1 7-5WH2HMatch dataJun 29, 2026R128