Elena Rybakina def. Jessica Pegula
6-3 7-6(7)
Elena Rybakina defeated Jessica Pegula 6-3 7-6(7) in the 2026 Australian Open semifinal on hard courts on January 29, 2026.
Match Information
Match Statistics
| Stat | Elena Rybakina | Jessica Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Serving | ||
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner. | 6 | 2 |
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve. | 0 | 0 |
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in. | 54.8% | 64.5% |
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve. | 72.5% | 61.2% |
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults. | 48.5% | 37.0% |
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server. | 25.0% | 60.0% |
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving. | 61.6% | 52.6% |
| Returning | ||
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner. | 40.0% | 75.0% |
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning. | 47.4% | 38.4% |
| Overall | ||
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won. | 54.4% | 45.6% |
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment. | +4.6 | -4.4 |
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment. | +4.4 | -4.6 |
* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.
Win Probability
How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.
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Player Comparison
| Field | Elena Rybakina | Jessica Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Country | KAZ | USA |
| Birth date | Jun 17, 1999 | Feb 24, 1994 |
| Age | 26 | 31 |
| Height | 184 cm | 170 cm |
| Handedness | Right-Handed | Right-Handed |
| Backhand style | Two-Handed Backhand | Two-Handed Backhand |
| Ranking (entering) | 5 | 6 |
| Ranking points (entering) | 5,850 | 5,453 |
| Elo (entering) | 2,187 | 2,102 |
| Current career W-L | 315–129 | 304–140 |
| Current career earnings | $35,318,052 | $27,601,104 |
Path
Elena Rybakina's path
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | 7-5 6-1 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 28, 2026 | QF |
| Elise Mertens | 6-1 6-3 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 26, 2026 | R16 |
| Tereza Valentova | 6-2 6-3 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 24, 2026 | R32 |
| Varvara Gracheva | 7-5 6-2 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 22, 2026 | R64 |
| Kaja Juvan | 6-4 6-3 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 20, 2026 | R128 |
Elena Rybakina's next match
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 4-6 6-4 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 31, 2026 | F |
Jessica Pegula's path
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Anisimova | 6-2 7-6(1) | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 28, 2026 | QF |
| Madison Keys | 6-3 6-4 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 26, 2026 | R16 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | 6-3 6-2 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 23, 2026 | R32 |
| Mccartney Kessler | 6-0 6-2 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 22, 2026 | R64 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | 6-2 6-1 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 19, 2026 | R128 |