Elena Rybakina #2 def. Naomi Osaka #13

4-6 7-6(5) 6-4

Elena Rybakina defeated Naomi Osaka 4-6 7-6(5) 6-4 in the 2026 Canadian Open quarterfinal on hard courts on August 11, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatElena RybakinaNaomi Osaka
Aces153
Double faults66
First serve %5662
First serve points won %7465
Second serve points won %4854
Break points saved %5750
Break points converted %5043
Service points won %6261
Return points won %3938
Total points won %5149
Serve rating118107
Return rating8781

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Pre-match Comparison

FieldElena RybakinaNaomi Osaka
Country KAZ JPN
Birth dateJun 17, 1999Oct 16, 1997
Age2728
Height184180
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)213
Ranking points (entering)8,0563,281
Elo (entering)2,1192,057
Career W-L305–128247–134
Career earnings$29,098,922$26,458,452
Pre-match H2H
Elena Rybakina #2 0 0 Naomi Osaka #13

Path

Elena Rybakina's path

OpponentScoreW/LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Liudmila Samsonova #556-4 4-6 6-4WH2HMatch dataAug 9, 2026R16
Ann Li #316-2 7-5WH2HMatch dataAug 7, 2026R32
Daria Kasatkina #616-3 5-7 6-4WH2HMatch dataAug 5, 2026R64

Elena Rybakina's next match

OpponentScoreW/LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Coco Gauff #45-7 6-2 6-2WH2HMatch dataAug 13, 2026SF

Naomi Osaka's path

OpponentScoreW/LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Leylah Fernandez #346-4 6-4WH2HMatch dataAug 9, 2026R16
Elise Mertens #246-1 6-2WH2HMatch dataAug 7, 2026R32
Panna Udvardy #766-2 6-4WH2HMatch dataAug 5, 2026R64