R16 US Open 2026

Elena Rybakina #2 def. Naomi Osaka #13

6-1 6-4

Elena Rybakina defeated Naomi Osaka 6-1 6-4 in the 2026 US Open fourth round on hard courts on September 7, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatElena RybakinaNaomi Osaka
Aces72
Double faults15
First serve %61.0%66.0%
First serve points won %87.0%67.0%
Second serve points won %50.0%29.0%
Break points saved %100.0%62.0%
Break points converted %38.0%0.0%
Service points won %73.0%54.0%
Return points won %46.0%27.0%
Total points won %59.0%41.0%
Serve rating12898
Return rating9544

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldElena RybakinaNaomi Osaka
Country KAZ JPN
Birth dateJun 17, 1999Oct 16, 1997
Age2728
Height184 cm180 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)213
Ranking points (entering)8,1412,846
Elo (entering)2,1352,064
Current career W-L312–129251–136
Current career earnings$29,818,052$26,612,806
Pre-match H2H
Elena Rybakina #2 1 0 Naomi Osaka #13

Path

Elena Rybakina's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Yuliia Starodubtseva #587-6(6) 6-3WH2HMatch dataSep 6, 2026R32
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro #1056-2 6-4WH2HMatch dataSep 4, 2026R64
Thea Frodin 6-3 6-2WH2HMatch dataSep 1, 2026R128

Elena Rybakina's next match

No later same-event match found for the winner.

Naomi Osaka's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Elise Mertens #206-3 3-6 7-5WH2HMatch dataSep 5, 2026R32
Katerina Siniakova #426-2 5-7 6-1WH2HMatch dataSep 3, 2026R64
Anastasia Zakharova #1017-6(6) 7-6(3)WH2HMatch dataSep 1, 2026R128