F US Open 2026

Elena Rybakina #2 def. Aryna Sabalenka #1

6-4 5-7 6-2

Elena Rybakina defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-4 5-7 6-2 in the 2026 US Open final on hard courts on September 12, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatElena RybakinaAryna Sabalenka
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
126
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
53
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
47.1%58.5%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
85.4%69.3%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
58.7%50.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
66.7%75.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
71.3%61.3%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
25.0%33.3%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
38.7%28.7%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
53.4%46.6%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+14.2+4.3
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
-4.3-14.2

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldElena RybakinaAryna Sabalenka
Country KAZ BLR
Birth dateJun 17, 1999May 5, 1998
Age2728
Height184 cm182 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)21
Ranking points (entering)8,1418,575
Elo (entering)2,1722,202
Current career W-L315–129416–145
Current career earnings$35,318,052$53,222,999
Pre-match H2H

Path

Elena Rybakina's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Coco Gauff #43-6 6-4 6-4WH2HMatch dataSep 11, 2026SF
Qinwen Zheng #1213-6 6-1 6-4WH2HMatch dataSep 9, 2026QF
Naomi Osaka #136-1 6-4WH2HMatch dataSep 7, 2026R16
Yuliia Starodubtseva #587-6(6) 6-3WH2HMatch dataSep 6, 2026R32
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro #1056-2 6-4WH2HMatch dataSep 4, 2026R64
Thea Frodin 6-3 6-2WH2HMatch dataSep 1, 2026R128

Elena Rybakina's next match

No later same-event match found for the winner.

Aryna Sabalenka's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Jessica Pegula #37-5 6-2WH2HMatch dataSep 10, 2026SF
Linda Noskova #67-6(1) 3-6 7-6(7)WH2HMatch dataSep 8, 2026QF
Taylor Townsend #966-4 6-3WH2HMatch dataSep 6, 2026R16
Kamilla Rakhimova #926-3 6-4WH2HMatch dataSep 4, 2026R32
Polina Iatcenko #1606-1 6-1WH2HMatch dataSep 2, 2026R64
Camila Osorio #596-2 6-4WH2HMatch dataAug 31, 2026R128