Jessica Pegula def. Aryna Sabalenka
2-6 6-4 7-6(2)
Jessica Pegula defeated Aryna Sabalenka 2-6 6-4 7-6(2) in the 2025 Wuhan Open semifinal on hard courts on October 11, 2025.
Match Information
Match Statistics
| Stat | Jessica Pegula | Aryna Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Serving | ||
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner. | 5 | 10 |
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve. | 4 | 3 |
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in. | 68.0% | 65.3% |
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve. | 52.9% | 62.1% |
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults. | 48.5% | 20.0% |
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server. | 52.9% | 41.7% |
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving. | 51.5% | 47.5% |
| Returning | ||
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner. | 58.3% | 47.1% |
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning. | 52.5% | 48.5% |
| Overall | ||
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won. | 52.0% | 48.0% |
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment. | -5.4 | -9.3 |
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment. | +9.3 | +5.4 |
* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2025 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.
Win Probability
How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.
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Player Comparison
| Field | Jessica Pegula | Aryna Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Country | USA | BLR |
| Birth date | Feb 24, 1994 | May 5, 1998 |
| Age | 31 | 27 |
| Height | 170 cm | 182 cm |
| Handedness | Right-Handed | Right-Handed |
| Backhand style | Two-Handed Backhand | Two-Handed Backhand |
| Ranking (entering) | 6 | 1 |
| Ranking points (entering) | 4,653 | 11,010 |
| Elo (entering) | 2,035 | 2,232 |
| Current career W-L | 304–140 | 416–145 |
| Current career earnings | $27,601,104 | $53,222,999 |
Path
Jessica Pegula's path
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katerina Siniakova | 2-6 6-0 6-3 | W | H2H | Match data | Oct 10, 2025 | QF |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | 7-5 3-6 6-3 | W | H2H | Match data | Oct 9, 2025 | R16 |
| Hailey Baptiste | 6-4 4-6 7-6(6) | W | H2H | Match data | Oct 8, 2025 | R32 |
Jessica Pegula's next match
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | 4-6 5-7 | L | H2H | Match data | Oct 12, 2025 | F |
Aryna Sabalenka's path
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | 6-3 6-3 | W | H2H | Match data | Oct 10, 2025 | QF |
| Liudmila Samsonova | 6-3 6-2 | W | H2H | Match data | Oct 9, 2025 | R16 |
| Rebecca Sramkova | 4-6 6-3 6-1 | W | H2H | Match data | Oct 8, 2025 | R32 |