Karolina Muchova def. Elena Rybakina
6-2 2-6 6-4
Karolina Muchova defeated Elena Rybakina 6-2 2-6 6-4 in the 2026 Brisbane International quarterfinal on hard courts on January 9, 2026.
Match Information
Match Statistics
| Stat | Karolina Muchova | Elena Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Serving | ||
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner. | 3 | 9 |
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve. | 0 | 7 |
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in. | 72.5% | 53.8% |
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve. | 74.0% | 67.3% |
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults. | 52.6% | 47.6% |
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server. | 33.3% | 72.7% |
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving. | 68.1% | 58.2% |
| Returning | ||
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner. | 27.3% | 66.7% |
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning. | 41.8% | 31.9% |
| Overall | ||
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won. | 53.1% | 46.9% |
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment. | +11.1 | +1.2 |
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment. | -1.2 | -11.1 |
* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.
Win Probability
How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.
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Player Comparison
| Field | Karolina Muchova | Elena Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Country | CZE | KAZ |
| Birth date | Aug 21, 1996 | Jun 17, 1999 |
| Age | 29 | 26 |
| Height | 180 cm | 184 cm |
| Handedness | Right-Handed | Right-Handed |
| Backhand style | Two-Handed Backhand | Two-Handed Backhand |
| Ranking (entering) | 19 | 5 |
| Ranking points (entering) | 1,996 | 5,850 |
| Elo (entering) | 1,977 | 2,181 |
| Current career W-L | 178–90 | 315–129 |
| Current career earnings | $15,171,307 | $35,318,052 |
Path
Karolina Muchova's path
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | 6-4 7-5 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 8, 2026 | R16 |
| Ajla Tomljanovic | 4-6 6-1 7-6(5) | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 6, 2026 | R32 |
Karolina Muchova's next match
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | 3-6 4-6 | L | H2H | Match data | Jan 10, 2026 | SF |
Elena Rybakina's path
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paula Badosa | 6-3 6-2 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 8, 2026 | R16 |
| Shuai Zhang | 6-3 7-5 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 6, 2026 | R32 |