R32 Madrid Open 2026

Anastasia Potapova #56 def. Jelena Ostapenko #40

4-6 6-4 6-4

Anastasia Potapova defeated Jelena Ostapenko 4-6 6-4 6-4 in the 2026 Madrid Open third round on clay courts on April 26, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatAnastasia PotapovaJelena Ostapenko
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
64
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
79
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
51.6%57.6%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
63.3%53.1%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
45.6%44.4%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
50.0%45.5%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
54.7%49.4%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
54.5%50.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
50.6%45.3%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
52.8%47.2%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
-2.2-7.5
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+7.5+2.2

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldAnastasia PotapovaJelena Ostapenko
Country AUT LAT
Birth dateMar 30, 2001Jun 8, 1997
Age2528
Height175 cm177 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)5640
Ranking points (entering)1,0651,314
Elo (entering)1,8191,822
Current career W-L168–137300–224
Current career earnings$7,244,312$20,796,198
Pre-match H2H

Path

Anastasia Potapova's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Shuai Zhang #656-3 6-1WH2HMatch dataApr 24, 2026R64
Teodora Kostovic #1646-4 7-5WH2HMatch dataApr 20, 2026Q1

Anastasia Potapova's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Elena Rybakina #27-6(8) 6-4WH2HMatch dataApr 27, 2026R16

Jelena Ostapenko's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Simona Waltert #976-2 7-5WH2HMatch dataApr 24, 2026R64