H2H data updated: 2026-09-13 00:00 UTC

Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys H2H: 6-2

Aryna Sabalenka holds a 6–2 lead over Madison Keys in their WTA head-to-head. Across 8 main-draw meetings, Aryna Sabalenka leads 5–1 on hard courts, while they are tied 1–1 on grass. Most recently, Aryna Sabalenka won the 2026 Brisbane International quarterfinal 6-3 6-3.

Want to explore more matchups? Advanced rivalry search lets you browse current and historical rivalries, unbeaten records, or every matchup for a player.

Aryna Sabalenka
Belarus Age 28 Right-Handed 182 cm / 6'0"
H2H
6 – 2
8 main-draw meetings
Madison Keys
United States Age 31 Right-Handed 178 cm / 5'10"

H2H Match Log

PlayerScorePlayerMatch DataDateRoundTournamentCategorySurface
Aryna Sabalenka #1 6-3 6-3 Madison Keys #7 Match data Jan 9, 2026 QF Brisbane International WTA 500 Hard
Aryna Sabalenka #1 6-0 6-1 Madison Keys #5 Match data Mar 15, 2025 SF Indian Wells Open WTA 1000 Hard
Madison Keys #14 6-3 2-6 7-5 Aryna Sabalenka #1 Match data Jan 25, 2025 F Australian Open Grand Slam Hard
Aryna Sabalenka #2 6-4 6-3 Madison Keys #24 Match data Oct 2, 2024* R16 China Open WTA 1000 Hard
Aryna Sabalenka #2 0-6 7-6(1) 7-6(5) Madison Keys #17 Match data Sep 9, 2023* SF US Open Grand Slam Hard
Aryna Sabalenka #2 6-2 6-4 Madison Keys #18 Match data Jul 13, 2023* QF Wimbledon Grand Slam Grass
Madison Keys #28 6-4 1-6 7-5 Aryna Sabalenka #4 Match data Jun 18, 2021* R16 Berlin Open WTA 500 Grass
Aryna Sabalenka #34 6-3 6-4 Madison Keys #13 Match data Aug 18, 2018* QF Cincinnati Open Premier 5 → modern equivalent WTA 1000 Hard

Estimated match date where the exact historical date is unavailable. Arrows show an edition's recorded category and documented modern equivalent; unresolved editions keep their recorded category. Asterisked totals include editions mapped from documented historical predecessor categories. Mapping details.

Career Comparison

Player Current Peak Pts Elo W L Win % GS 1000 including documented historical predecessor categories Finals 500 including documented historical predecessor categories 250 including documented historical predecessor categories Titles
Aryna Sabalenka #1 #1 12,420 2,324 416 145 74.2% 4 11 1 6 2 24
Madison Keys #24 #5 5,004 2,134 374 217 63.3% 1 1 0 7 2 11

Career Progression by Age

Seasons are aligned by the age each player spent most of that calendar year. GS and Titles are cumulative career totals through that season.

Age Aryna Sabalenka Madison Keys
YrW-LWin %RankEloGSTitles YrW-LWin %RankEloGSTitles
14 — — — — — — — 2009 1–1 50.0% #616 1,512 0 0
16 — — — — — — — 2011 1–2 33.3% #273 1,516 0 0
17 — — — — — — — 2012 1–4 20.0% #137 1,514 0 0
18 — — — — — — — 2013 24–17 58.5% #38 1,725 0 0
19 2017 9–5 64.3% #96 1,674 0 0 2014 27–21 56.2% #30 1,743 0 1
20 2018 43–21 67.2% #13 1,963 0 2 2015 31–19 62.0% #18 1,810 0 1
21 2019 36–21 63.2% #11 1,938 0 5 2016 46–18 71.9% #8 1,943 0 2
22 2020 28–9 75.7% #10 2,006 0 8 2017 17–10 63.0% #19 1,902 0 3
23 2021 45–18 71.4% #2 1,975 0 10 2018 28–16 63.6% #17 1,907 0 3
24 2022 33–22 60.0% #5 1,955 0 10 2019 27–13 67.5% #13 1,913 0 5
25 2023 56–14 80.0% #2 2,082 1 13 2020 8–5 61.5% #16 1,869 0 5
26 2024 56–14 80.0% #1 2,173 3 17 2021 11–15 42.3% #56 1,733 0 5
27 2025 64–12 84.2% #1 2,227 4 21 2022 30–19 61.2% #11 1,865 0 6
28 2026 46–9 83.6% #1 2,185 4 24 2023 29–16 64.4% #12 1,907 0 7
29 — — — — — — — 2024 25–12 67.6% #21 1,945 0 8
30 — — — — — — — 2025 37–15 71.2% #7 1,964 1 10
31 — — — — — — — 2026 31–14 68.9% #24 1,982 1 11

Surface Results by Age

Seasons are aligned by the age each player spent most of that calendar year. Results cover completed main-draw matches. Bold green marks the higher win percentage when both players have at least 5 matches on that surface at the aligned age.

Age Aryna Sabalenka Madison Keys
Yr HardClayGrass Yr HardClayGrass
W L M Win % W L M Win % W L M Win % W L M Win % W L M Win % W L M Win %
14 — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2009 — — — — 1 1 2 50.0% — — — —
16 — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2011 1 2 3 33.3% — — — — — — — —
17 — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2012 1 4 5 20.0% — — — — — — — —
18 — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2013 14 11 25 56.0% 5 4 9 55.6% 5 2 7 71.4%
19 2017 8 4 12 66.7% — — — — 1 1 2 50.0% 2014 14 14 28 50.0% 5 5 10 50.0% 8 2 10 80.0%
20 2018 32 12 44 72.7% 4 5 9 44.4% 7 4 11 63.6% 2015 18 12 30 60.0% 9 5 14 64.3% 4 2 6 66.7%
21 2019 29 12 41 70.7% 5 5 10 50.0% 2 4 6 33.3% 2016 28 13 41 68.3% 10 4 14 71.4% 8 1 9 88.9%
22 2020 23 7 30 76.7% 5 2 7 71.4% — — — — 2017 15 5 20 75.0% 1 4 5 20.0% 1 1 2 50.0%
23 2021 25 12 37 67.6% 13 3 16 81.3% 7 3 10 70.0% 2018 16 10 26 61.5% 10 5 15 66.7% 2 1 3 66.7%
24 2022 20 15 35 57.1% 9 5 14 64.3% 4 2 6 66.7% 2019 16 9 25 64.0% 10 3 13 76.9% 1 1 2 50.0%
25 2023 36 9 45 80.0% 14 3 17 82.4% 6 2 8 75.0% 2020 8 4 12 66.7% 0 1 1 0.0% — — — —
26 2024 40 9 49 81.6% 15 4 19 78.9% 1 1 2 50.0% 2021 3 9 12 25.0% 3 4 7 42.9% 5 2 7 71.4%
27 2025 40 7 47 85.1% 17 3 20 85.0% 7 2 9 77.8% 2022 25 14 39 64.1% 4 4 8 50.0% 1 1 2 50.0%
28 2026 33 4 37 89.2% 8 3 11 72.7% 5 2 7 71.4% 2023 14 12 26 53.8% 6 3 9 66.7% 9 1 10 90.0%
29 — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2024 7 6 13 53.8% 13 4 17 76.5% 5 2 7 71.4%
30 — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2025 24 8 32 75.0% 9 4 13 69.2% 4 3 7 57.1%
31 — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2026 14 9 23 60.9% 7 3 10 70.0% 10 2 12 83.3%
Career — 286 91 377 75.9% 90 33 123 73.2% 40 21 61 65.6% — 218 142 360 60.6% 93 54 147 63.3% 63 21 84 75.0%

Performance Progression by Age

Seasons are aligned by the age each player spent most of that calendar year. Detailed serve and return statistics available for 533/563 of Aryna Sabalenka's and 543/591 of Madison Keys's main draw matches. Sample is shown as matches with detailed serve and return statistics / total main draw matches. Bold green marks the stronger value when both stat samples contain at least 5 matches; lower is better for DFs/M.

Age Aryna Sabalenka Madison Keys
Yr Sample Aces/M DFs/M 1st Sv% 1st Pts% 2nd Pts% BP Saved% BP Conv% Svc Pts% Ret Pts% Yr Sample Aces/M DFs/M 1st Sv% 1st Pts% 2nd Pts% BP Saved% BP Conv% Svc Pts% Ret Pts%
14 — —/— — — — — — — — — — 2009 2/2 3.0 2.0 47.5% 66.4% 55.5% 44.4% 41.7% 60.1% 39.4%
16 — —/— — — — — — — — — — 2011 3/3 5.0 6.3 55.4% 67.2% 46.9% 60.5% 44.8% 58.2% 44.8%
17 — —/— — — — — — — — — — 2012 5/5 2.0 3.4 58.1% 56.5% 44.8% 38.4% 32.9% 51.2% 36.0%
18 — —/— — — — — — — — — — 2013 39/41 5.4 2.1 59.6% 70.0% 48.7% 65.0% 45.9% 61.4% 42.4%
19 2017 12/14 5.3 3.7 58.2% 67.6% 47.5% 61.1% 52.8% 59.8% 45.6% 2014 45/48 4.8 1.9 60.0% 69.4% 50.0% 50.9% 48.7% 61.9% 43.5%
20 2018 58/64 4.4 4.6 59.3% 69.7% 49.1% 61.4% 44.8% 61.2% 42.1% 2015 38/50 7.3 2.2 62.2% 71.5% 51.3% 61.5% 48.1% 64.1% 41.2%
21 2019 56/57 4.4 6.2 61.4% 69.5% 46.4% 58.6% 48.7% 60.6% 45.2% 2016 49/64 5.5 1.9 64.4% 70.5% 52.7% 60.1% 52.6% 64.1% 43.8%
22 2020 37/37 4.5 4.5 62.2% 68.5% 48.4% 52.0% 51.2% 61.0% 46.1% 2017 27/27 4.5 2.9 62.7% 69.2% 49.3% 59.9% 47.8% 62.0% 43.9%
23 2021 59/63 6.0 5.4 58.3% 70.8% 49.9% 63.5% 52.0% 62.0% 45.3% 2018 42/44 5.3 1.6 64.0% 71.2% 47.8% 57.5% 45.0% 62.8% 44.2%
24 2022 54/55 4.7 7.9 60.6% 67.9% 42.9% 50.4% 47.0% 58.0% 45.3% 2019 40/40 6.9 2.5 62.0% 71.3% 47.2% 59.7% 46.2% 62.0% 43.9%
25 2023 69/70 5.9 4.1 61.2% 74.4% 50.3% 61.9% 46.3% 65.1% 45.7% 2020 13/13 4.8 0.9 67.7% 72.9% 51.8% 55.6% 48.6% 66.2% 44.1%
26 2024 70/71 4.4 2.9 62.8% 71.1% 51.5% 63.6% 50.6% 63.8% 46.1% 2021 26/26 4.6 2.4 63.7% 66.7% 43.0% 58.2% 39.9% 58.2% 41.3%
27 2025 63/77 4.0 2.3 63.3% 69.5% 53.0% 61.0% 51.6% 63.2% 46.6% 2022 48/49 4.4 3.1 63.3% 67.9% 48.2% 54.1% 44.3% 60.8% 43.7%
28 2026 55/55 5.0 2.3 64.8% 72.4% 54.4% 59.9% 48.5% 66.0% 45.2% 2023 43/45 3.9 1.9 67.5% 68.3% 48.3% 60.2% 48.0% 62.0% 44.4%
29 — —/— — — — — — — — — — 2024 36/37 3.8 2.7 69.4% 66.5% 46.5% 60.4% 46.5% 60.6% 44.9%
30 — —/— — — — — — — — — — 2025 42/52 4.4 3.8 65.8% 66.8% 46.6% 57.8% 44.0% 59.9% 45.5%
31 — —/— — — — — — — — — — 2026 45/45 4.2 3.5 64.3% 71.5% 47.4% 56.1% 48.8% 63.0% 45.1%
Career — 533/563 4.8 4.4 61.4% 70.5% 49.7% 59.7% 49.0% 62.4% 45.3% — 543/591 5.0 2.5 63.7% 69.3% 48.5% 58.1% 46.7% 61.8% 43.7%

Advanced Statistics Comparison by Age

Seasons are aligned by the age each player spent most of that calendar year. Metrics use eligible main-draw results; point statistics use matches with detailed data. Bold green marks the stronger value when both underlying samples are sufficient. Lower is better for Schedule because a negative value means a tougher schedule. Career Schedule is normalized per 100 matches.

Age Aryna Sabalenka Madison Keys
Yr Elo P+ Serve+ Return+ PD TPW% Hard Elo Clay Elo Grass Elo Set Win % Set Margin Dec. Set Tiebreak Pressure+ Schedule Yr Elo P+ Serve+ Return+ PD TPW% Hard Elo Clay Elo Grass Elo Set Win % Set Margin Dec. Set Tiebreak Pressure+ Schedule
14 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2009 1513 104.9 -0.92 -0.60 0.987 49.0% — — — 50.0% -0.75 — — — -0.15
16 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2011 1517 113.3 -3.13 -0.25 1.071 51.6% +19 — — 50.0% +0.25 0–2 0–1 — -0.02
17 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2012 1514 113.2 -0.48 -2.14 0.738 43.5% +13 — — 18.2% -2.09 1–0 0–1 — -0.51
18 2016 1499 99.6 — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2013 1726 137.3 +4.59 -0.90 1.100 51.9% -46 -118 -57 58.2% +0.62 4–5 (44%) 5–6 (45%) 99.0 +0.04
19 2017 1674 126.8 +1.97 +0.43 1.134 52.8% +32 — — 65.6% +1.03 1–3 (25%) 1–2 (33%) 96.9 +0.60 2014 1744 136.9 +5.12 +0.02 1.142 52.3% -64 -93 +79 56.9% +0.45 6–10 (38%) 7–8 (47%) 96.1 -0.67
20 2018 1963 152.3 +4.32 +0.38 1.084 51.7% +5 -387 -239 60.4% +0.62 19–7 (73%) 13–6 (68%) 113.7 -2.90 2015 1811 145.8 +4.84 +0.40 1.147 52.7% -23 -103 +11 63.6% +1.03 7–8 (47%) 5–5 (50%) 96.8 +0.70
21 2019 1938 149.8 +3.72 +2.29 1.148 53.1% +36 -321 -241 59.5% +0.89 11–8 (58%) 5–7 (42%) 98.6 +0.95 2016 1943 152.0 +7.53 +1.31 1.219 53.7% -32 -117 -34 65.8% +1.11 17–6 (74%) 14–10 (58%) 107.1 -0.49
22 2020 2007 154.4 +3.98 +2.79 1.182 53.5% +20 -307 — 67.0% +1.13 11–5 (69%) 5–7 (42%) 99.3 -0.98 2017 1903 141.2 +3.97 +1.46 1.155 52.9% +43 -160 — 62.5% +0.75 4–6 (40%) 4–2 (67%) 97.5 +0.26
23 2021 1975 161.3 +5.49 +3.40 1.194 53.7% -3 -39 -109 68.9% +1.37 10–14 (42%) 9–6 (60%) 95.5 -0.98 2018 1908 147.8 +5.83 +1.52 1.190 53.3% +17 -74 -12 68.1% +1.16 5–6 (45%) 7–4 (64%) 100.2 +1.54
24 2022 1956 152.8 +1.65 +3.23 1.078 51.5% -5 -17 -80 56.6% +0.40 15–13 (54%) 9–5 (64%) 102.3 -1.09 2019 1913 148.9 +4.30 +0.69 1.158 52.9% +7 -4 — 66.3% +1.05 7–7 (50%) 8–5 (62%) 99.5 +0.99
25 2023 2082 170.8 +8.10 +3.76 1.309 55.2% +25 +2 -99 75.3% +1.71 10–6 (63%) 13–6 (68%) 105.4 -2.05 2020 1869 136.6 +5.26 +1.22 1.305 54.4% +23 — — 65.4% +1.46 1–1 1–1 — +0.59
26 2024 2174 173.0 +7.39 +4.30 1.275 54.8% +37 -17 — 75.8% +1.72 12–9 (57%) 7–5 (58%) 95.7 -2.10 2021 1733 127.6 +1.29 -0.81 0.988 49.7% +11 +120 +234 43.6% -0.07 3–2 (60%) 0–5 (0%) 97.1 +1.25
27 2025 2228 172.3 +6.38 +4.36 1.266 54.8% +54 +38 -80 78.4% +1.81 12–6 (67%) 22–3 (88%) 112.7 -1.23 2022 1866 154.5 +3.52 +1.76 1.116 52.1% +14 -43 — 61.1% +0.58 8–9 (47%) 11–3 (79%) 100.5 -1.43
28 2026 2185 170.4 +7.80 +3.65 1.331 55.3% +150 +20 -55 81.1% +1.84 5–7 (42%) 12–5 (71%) 95.2 -0.43 2023 1908 154.0 +4.44 +2.18 1.168 53.1% -24 -103 +181 65.3% +1.28 5–6 (45%) 5–5 (50%) 98.3 +0.85
29 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2024 1945 153.9 +3.89 +2.77 1.137 52.5% -67 +54 +149 67.1% +1.18 5–3 (63%) 9–3 (75%) 105.9 +0.01
30 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2025 1964 160.3 +2.87 +2.39 1.133 52.4% +63 +39 +107 63.5% +0.80 16–6 (73%) 10–7 (59%) 107.8 -0.52
31 — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2026 1982 152.9 +5.09 +2.77 1.218 53.6% -16 +38 +175 65.7% +1.21 8–8 (50%) 6–7 (46%) 93.5 +1.20
Career — 2325 167.7 +5.53 +3.13 1.206 53.8% +36 -73 -132 69.4% +1.29 106–78 (58%) 96–52 (65%) 106.9 -1.83 — 2135 155.9 +4.46 +1.22 1.145 52.6% -6 -39 +96 62.4% +0.87 97–85 (53%) 92–73 (56%) 101.0 +0.62

Career Rivalries

Each player's five most-played main-draw opponents. The current matchup is highlighted when it appears in a player's top five.