Elena Rybakina def. Aryna Sabalenka
6-4 4-6 6-4
Elena Rybakina defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-4 4-6 6-4 in the 2026 Australian Open final on hard courts on January 31, 2026.
Match Information
Match Statistics
| Stat | Elena Rybakina | Aryna Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Serving | ||
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner. | 6 | 5 |
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve. | 3 | 2 |
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in. | 55.1% | 61.6% |
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve. | 75.9% | 75.5% |
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults. | 47.7% | 48.5% |
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server. | 75.0% | 50.0% |
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving. | 63.3% | 65.1% |
| Returning | ||
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner. | 50.0% | 25.0% |
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning. | 34.9% | 36.7% |
| Overall | ||
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won. | 50.0% | 50.0% |
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment. | +6.4 | +8.2 |
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment. | -8.2 | -6.4 |
* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.
Win Probability
How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.
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Player Comparison
| Field | Elena Rybakina | Aryna Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Country | KAZ | BLR |
| Birth date | Jun 17, 1999 | May 5, 1998 |
| Age | 26 | 27 |
| Height | 184 cm | 182 cm |
| Handedness | Right-Handed | Right-Handed |
| Backhand style | Two-Handed Backhand | Two-Handed Backhand |
| Ranking (entering) | 5 | 1 |
| Ranking points (entering) | 5,850 | 10,990 |
| Elo (entering) | 2,199 | 2,271 |
| Current career W-L | 315–130 | 417–147 |
| Current career earnings | $35,354,162 | $53,284,864 |
Path
Elena Rybakina's path
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | 6-3 7-6(7) | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 29, 2026 | SF |
| Iga Swiatek | 7-5 6-1 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 28, 2026 | QF |
| Elise Mertens | 6-1 6-3 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 26, 2026 | R16 |
| Tereza Valentova | 6-2 6-3 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 24, 2026 | R32 |
| Varvara Gracheva | 7-5 6-2 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 22, 2026 | R64 |
| Kaja Juvan | 6-4 6-3 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 20, 2026 | R128 |
Elena Rybakina's next match
No later same-event match found for the winner.
Aryna Sabalenka's path
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elina Svitolina | 6-2 6-3 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 29, 2026 | SF |
| Iva Jovic | 6-3 6-0 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 27, 2026 | QF |
| Victoria Mboko | 6-1 7-6(1) | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 25, 2026 | R16 |
| Anastasia Potapova | 7-6(4) 7-6(7) | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 23, 2026 | R32 |
| Zhuoxuan Bai | 6-3 6-1 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 21, 2026 | R64 |
| Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah | 6-4 6-1 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 18, 2026 | R128 |