Elena Rybakina def. Jessica Pegula
6-1 7-6(4)
Elena Rybakina defeated Jessica Pegula 6-1 7-6(4) in the 2026 Indian Wells Open quarterfinal on hard courts on March 12, 2026.
Match Information
Match Statistics
| Stat | Elena Rybakina | Jessica Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Serving | ||
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner. | 7 | 5 |
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve. | 2 | 0 |
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in. | 65.4% | 56.1% |
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve. | 74.5% | 68.8% |
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults. | 48.1% | 56.0% |
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server. | 80.0% | 25.0% |
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving. | 65.4% | 63.2% |
| Returning | ||
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner. | 75.0% | 20.0% |
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning. | 36.8% | 34.6% |
| Overall | ||
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won. | 53.3% | 46.7% |
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment. | +8.3 | +6.1 |
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment. | -6.1 | -8.4 |
* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.
Win Probability
How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.
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Player Comparison
| Field | Elena Rybakina | Jessica Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Country | KAZ | USA |
| Birth date | Jun 17, 1999 | Feb 24, 1994 |
| Age | 26 | 32 |
| Height | 184 cm | 170 cm |
| Handedness | Right-Handed | Right-Handed |
| Backhand style | Two-Handed Backhand | Two-Handed Backhand |
| Ranking (entering) | 3 | 5 |
| Ranking points (entering) | 7,253 | 6,583 |
| Elo (entering) | 2,189 | 2,156 |
| Current career W-L | 315–129 | 304–140 |
| Current career earnings | $35,318,052 | $27,601,104 |
Path
Elena Rybakina's path
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonay Kartal | 6-4 4-3 (ret.) | W | H2H | Match data | Mar 11, 2026 | R16 |
| Marta Kostyuk | 6-4 6-4 | W | H2H | Match data | Mar 10, 2026 | R32 |
| Hailey Baptiste | 7-6(5) 2-6 6-2 | W | H2H | Match data | Mar 7, 2026 | R64 |
Elena Rybakina's next match
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elina Svitolina | 7-5 6-4 | W | H2H | Match data | Mar 14, 2026 | SF |
Jessica Pegula's path
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belinda Bencic | 6-3 7-6(5) | W | H2H | Match data | Mar 11, 2026 | R16 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | W | H2H | Match data | Mar 9, 2026 | R32 |
| Donna Vekic | 4-6 6-2 6-3 | W | H2H | Match data | Mar 8, 2026 | R64 |