Elena Rybakina #3 def. Elina Svitolina #9

7-5 6-4

Elena Rybakina defeated Elina Svitolina 7-5 6-4 in the 2026 Indian Wells Open semifinal on hard courts on March 14, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatElena RybakinaElina Svitolina
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
65
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
16
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
61.1%58.3%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
84.9%61.9%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
33.3%40.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
80.0%60.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
64.8%52.8%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
40.0%20.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
47.2%35.2%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
54.8%45.2%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+7.8-4.2
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+4.2-7.8

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldElena RybakinaElina Svitolina
Country KAZ UKR
Birth dateJun 17, 1999Sep 12, 1994
Age2631
Height184 cm174 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)39
Ranking points (entering)7,2533,845
Elo (entering)2,2032,110
Current career W-L314–129450–234
Current career earnings$29,818,052$30,597,396
Pre-match H2H

Path

Elena Rybakina's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Jessica Pegula #56-1 7-6(4)WH2HMatch dataMar 12, 2026QF
Sonay Kartal #546-4 4-3 (ret.)WH2HMatch dataMar 11, 2026R16
Marta Kostyuk #286-4 6-4WH2HMatch dataMar 10, 2026R32
Hailey Baptiste #437-6(5) 2-6 6-2WH2HMatch dataMar 7, 2026R64

Elena Rybakina's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Aryna Sabalenka #16-3 3-6 6-7(6)LH2HMatch dataMar 15, 2026F

Elina Svitolina's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Iga Swiatek #26-2 4-6 6-4WH2HMatch dataMar 12, 2026QF
Katerina Siniakova #446-1 1-1 (ret.)WH2HMatch dataMar 11, 2026R16
Ashlyn Krueger #826-4 6-2WH2HMatch dataMar 9, 2026R32
Laura Siegemund #557-6(5) 4-6 6-3WH2HMatch dataMar 8, 2026R64