Aryna Sabalenka def. Elena Rybakina
3-6 6-3 7-6(6)
Aryna Sabalenka defeated Elena Rybakina 3-6 6-3 7-6(6) in the 2026 Indian Wells Open final on hard courts on March 15, 2026.
Match Information
Match Statistics
| Stat | Aryna Sabalenka | Elena Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 9 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2 |
| First serve % | 58.0% | 55.0% |
| First serve points won % | 68.0% | 69.0% |
| Second serve points won % | 54.0% | 67.0% |
| Break points saved % | 75.0% | 0.0% |
| Break points converted % | 100.0% | 25.0% |
| Service points won % | 62.0% | 68.0% |
| Return points won % | 32.0% | 38.0% |
| Total points won % | 49.0% | 51.0% |
| Serve rating | 116 | 122 |
| Return rating | 105 | 70 |
Win Probability
How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.
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Player Comparison
| Field | Aryna Sabalenka | Elena Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Country | BLR | KAZ |
| Birth date | May 5, 1998 | Jun 17, 1999 |
| Age | 27 | 26 |
| Height | 182 cm | 184 cm |
| Handedness | Right-Handed | Right-Handed |
| Backhand style | Two-Handed Backhand | Two-Handed Backhand |
| Ranking (entering) | 1 | 3 |
| Ranking points (entering) | 10,675 | 7,253 |
| Elo (entering) | 2,272 | 2,215 |
| Current career W-L | 414–144 | 311–129 |
| Current career earnings | $50,422,999 | $29,818,052 |
Path
Aryna Sabalenka's path
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linda Noskova | 6-3 6-4 | W | H2H | Match data | Mar 13, 2026 | SF |
| Victoria Mboko | 7-6(0) 6-4 | W | H2H | Match data | Mar 12, 2026 | QF |
| Naomi Osaka | 6-2 6-4 | W | H2H | Match data | Mar 10, 2026 | R16 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | 6-4 6-1 | W | H2H | Match data | Mar 8, 2026 | R32 |
| Himeno Sakatsume | 6-4 6-2 | W | H2H | Match data | Mar 6, 2026 | R64 |
Aryna Sabalenka's next match
No later same-event match found for the winner.
Elena Rybakina's path
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elina Svitolina | 7-5 6-4 | W | H2H | Match data | Mar 14, 2026 | SF |
| Jessica Pegula | 6-1 7-6(4) | W | H2H | Match data | Mar 12, 2026 | QF |
| Sonay Kartal | 6-4 4-3 (ret.) | W | H2H | Match data | Mar 11, 2026 | R16 |
| Marta Kostyuk | 6-4 6-4 | W | H2H | Match data | Mar 10, 2026 | R32 |
| Hailey Baptiste | 7-6(5) 2-6 6-2 | W | H2H | Match data | Mar 7, 2026 | R64 |